John Hawkins has an interview with Dennis Avery, author of Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1500 Years, who offers a growingly unfashionable, yet awfully reasonable skepticism of the ever-crescendoing chorus of Algore and the Hollywood Boogedy-Boogedies.
Now, your book is called, "Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1500 Years." First of all, how do you know that we've had global warming every 1500 years or so and for how long has that been occurring?
Well, our records go back about a million years in ice cores and sea bed sediments and it seems to be a solar length cycle based on our records of sunspots that go back several centuries and the Carbon-14 and Beryllium-10, that are produced here on earth. The Carbon-14 and Beryllium-10 cycle -- they follow the 1500 year cycle as do our temperatures.
Now, how much longer should we expect this global warming cycle to last and how much hotter should we expect it to get?
The typical warming has been 1 to 2 degrees Celsius. Some of them have been a bit warmer than that. The one about 5000 years ago was quite warm. Obviously, all of our wildlife species and plants have been through these cycles before and we haven't studied their coping strategies, but we know they have them because they're here.
And, we can't really predict how long this will last. The 1500 year cycle is very regular during the ice ages and it's less regular during the warmings, but we've probably got several hundred more years of warm, stable, sunny weather and then we'll have another icy age, either a little ice age or a big one, in which case, things will either get quite a bit colder or a whole lot colder and the weather will be cloudy and unstable and people will wish they were living in a warming.
If this is such a good explanation -- and it does seem to make sense -- why do you think there are so many scientists out there who say that man is responsible for global warming?
Well John, if people believe me, there wouldn't be 2 billion dollars a year in federal research grants to set-up computerized climate models, Greenpeace wouldn't be selling memberships to people terrified of warming, and Al Gore would have to get a real job.
Handcrafted by Flip on February 9, 2007 |
TrackBack URL for this entry:
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference The Eco-Infidel: