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GOP Primary Scoreboard - Florida Edition

John McCain's victory in the Florida Republican primary has vaulted him for the first time into the delegate lead.  The state's 57 winner-take-all delegates bring McCain's total to 97, ahead of Romney's 74 and Huckabee's 29.

(If you missed it, here's the play-by-play of the evening's festivities.)

As illustrated below, Romney still leads or ties in some of the aggregate metrics, including average finish and average vote share.  Even so, with Rudy apparently poised to endorse McCain, we'll now need to steel ourselves for a week of breahtless media coronations of John McCain as the undeniable frontrunner (and various derivative conclusions about the soul of the GOP, the legacy of the Bush administration, the future of partisan politics, the meaning of life, whether man is inherently good or evil, and other grandiose extrapolations based on 100,000 Floridian votes).

Gop_scoreboardfl

As I mentioned earlier, the national polling trends show Romney climbing swiftly and McCain falling almost as swiftly.  But the double-bump McCain will enjoy from the Florida win and the Giuliani endorsement could stop that dead in its tracks.  According to tonight's exit polling, as reported by Fox News, Rudy supporters opt for Romney over McCain by 2:1 as their second choice.  But Giuliani throwing his weight squarely behind McCain could meaningfully alter the disposition of his refugees.

With Florida now in the rearview mirror and McCain about to realize what may be the grandest endorsement of his campaign, consolation for Romney supporters (in addition to the nearly evenly split frontrunner metrics) may lie in prospective bigwig backings to come Romney's way over the next 6 days.  With Super Tuesday looming and wih the field having winnowed to two sharply contrasting candidates (simply put, the conservative and the moderate), anyone who has yet to voice their preference and wants to have an impact will need to act fast.  One has to suspect Mitt will be personally burning up the phone lines over the next day or two.

Who do you reckon will be the biggest fish reeled in on each side (other than Rudy) between now and February 5th?  And will Huckabee have the good grace to sashay on out of the race or will he relish his new role as possible spoiler to Mitt?

Handcrafted by Flip on January 29, 2008 |

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Comments

A Letter of Introduction from T. Herman Zweibel By T. Herman Zweibel Publisher Emeritus (photo circa 1911) The Onion January 21, 2008 | Issue 44•03 The school-educated busy-bodies who manage my media properties inform me that it is almost time to appoint a new President. I almost cannot believe it is time for the suet-brained populace of this flagging Republic to be once again herded into the voting-booths to allegedly choose precisely which bloody-handed butcher will crack their bones and suck the marrow over the next few years. Futility, I say, rank and base futility! Does the grist choose the mill, the rabbit the hawk, the innocent 12-year-old Atlantic City orphan girl the lusty mob of beefy, drunk, vacationing coal-oil sales-men? They do not, and neither do the Citizens choose their Leaders. However, if The Onion news-paper can further the illusion that an individual vote has more potential to change the world than a lamb's last bubbling bleat in a crowded slaughter-house—and furthermore, if we may turn a hand-some profit by doing so—than let The Onion be the Judas goat to the milling herd of democratic cattle! I am told that our new War of the White House section will contain the vetted and censored life stories of each candidate; white-washed and simplified versions of their heinous plans to drain the life and wealth of each and every tax-payer; a schedule denoting the appearances of every aspirant, so that one may go and be covered in unspeakable fulminating lies in person instead of hearing them over the crystal-set. I should God damned well hope that there will also be prettily-colored pictures, or else the average American citizen will not be able to keep his eye on it for more than a few heart-beats, and it would be better yet if there were accompanying photos of ample heaving bosoms. Sadly, the man in the street becomes affronted whenever he feels his supposed dignity is being besmirched. Why is this? The man in the street is, for all his puffery, standing there in the God damned street! In any case, there will also be a section on how our Democracy works, despite even the simplest boor suspecting in his secret heart of hearts that it is a sham. Which it is. I have not voted since becoming a wealthy industrialist, having figured out some time ago that it is much wiser to employ the organ grinder than vote for the monkey. Still, I hope this special section is of some amusement to all. I understand that one of the candidates is campaigning in a dress this year, and yet another in a minstrel's blackface, which I must say was unexpected; but as long as there are no Catholics on the ballot, I see no reason to summon the marksmen. Now get back to work!

Posted by: LIARS, DAMN LIARS & STATISTICIANS | Jan 30, 2008 12:07:12 AM

I will not vote for McCain, he will lose the general election to Hillary or Obama. Mitt I believe would win, we must rally together to support him, be aware that McCain wants to raise the tax by fifty cents on gasoline which is already expensive. so don't be fooled into thinking he is the one for us!

Posted by: Meg | Jan 31, 2008 12:32:33 AM

I haven’t seen that much of McCain, but the times I have seen him, it’s surprising to me the snipy gotcha type comments he uses. He plays right into his opponents’ comments about his poor temperament. It leaves a bad taste and doesn’t look presidential. I just can’t see this guy with his hand on the big red button. I don’t think he’s measured or stable. Go Romney.

Posted by: Ann | Jan 31, 2008 1:41:58 AM

Romney is intelligent, and a great communicator. Romney has a resume full of places where he has made positive change. Romney has consistently pushed for strong borders. Romney won the values summit in the summer. Romney understands the economy. Romney has performed in the top 1-2 in every state he has invested in. Romney won the conservative vote in Florida. Romney supports our tropps. And McCain? He is awesome at throwing the F bomb at those he disagrees with.

Posted by: Dave | Feb 1, 2008 10:49:23 AM

Romney pondering drop out after Feb.5 Read L.A. Times article here> http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/02/mitt.html Don't waste a vote. Vote Ron Paul 2008 Veterans for Ron Paul

Posted by: Thomas | Feb 4, 2008 7:56:33 PM

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